Geopolitics Maung Maung Myint Geopolitics Maung Maung Myint

Western Sanctions vs. The "Shadow Economy"

A study of how US and EU sanctions on aviation fuel and state-owned banks are being circumvented through regional financial hubs.

The Focus: The effectiveness of targeted "smart sanctions" and the role of Singapore or Thai banks in Myanmar’s international transactions.

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Geopolitics Maung Maung Myint Geopolitics Maung Maung Myint

ASEAN’s "Five-Point Consensus" and Regional Legitimacy

This topic focuses on diplomatic pressure from the neighborhood. It examines the split between maritime ASEAN (who favor tougher stances) and mainland ASEAN (who favor engagement).

The Focus: The evolution of "non-interference" policies and the competition for Myanmar’s diplomatic seat in international forums.

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Geopolitics Maung Maung Myint Geopolitics Maung Maung Myint

The "China-Myanmar Economic Corridor" (CMEC) & Border Stability

This is the most critical geopolitical test. It involves China’s "Belt and Road Initiative" and its direct pressure on the military and EAOs to protect infrastructure like the oil and gas pipelines.

The Focus: Analyzing how Beijing balances support for the central government with its "special relationships" with northern border groups.

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