Geopolitics
A study of how US and EU sanctions on aviation fuel and state-owned banks are being circumvented through regional financial hubs.
The Focus: The effectiveness of targeted "smart sanctions" and the role of Singapore or Thai banks in Myanmar’s international transactions.
Myanmar has become a key customer for Russian hardware (Su-30s, Yak-130s) and nuclear technology, providing Russia with a strategic foothold in Southeast Asia.
The Focus: How the Ukraine-Russia conflict has tightened the bond between Moscow and Myanmar’s military leadership through arms-for-resources deals.
This topic focuses on diplomatic pressure from the neighborhood. It examines the split between maritime ASEAN (who favor tougher stances) and mainland ASEAN (who favor engagement).
The Focus: The evolution of "non-interference" policies and the competition for Myanmar’s diplomatic seat in international forums.
This is the most critical geopolitical test. It involves China’s "Belt and Road Initiative" and its direct pressure on the military and EAOs to protect infrastructure like the oil and gas pipelines.
The Focus: Analyzing how Beijing balances support for the central government with its "special relationships" with northern border groups.
Focuses on India's "Act East" policy and its security concerns regarding refugee flows and insurgent groups crossing the shared 1,600 km border.
The Focus: India's dual-track approach of maintaining ties with Naypyidaw while managing state-level relations with resistance forces.